r2
summary of best predictions
| phv |
0.52 |
0.56 |
0.09 |
| phvfsca |
0.76 |
0.77 |
0.06 |
| phvaso |
0.67 |
0.71 |
0.17 |
| phvasofsca |
0.79 |
0.79 |
0.09 |
phv
phvfsca
phvaso
phvasofsca
all model boxplots

% MAE
summary of best predictions
| phv |
59.38 |
54.39 |
21.96 |
| phvfsca |
37.14 |
37.61 |
11.93 |
| phvaso |
53.98 |
45.90 |
23.32 |
| phvasofsca |
36.21 |
35.70 |
12.32 |
phv
phvfsca
phvaso
phvasofsca
all model boxplots

compare best errors vs basin aggregated snow variables

|
|
|
|
Dependent variable:
|
|
|
|
|
|
phv.r2
|
phv.pctmae
|
phvfsca.r2
|
phvfsca.pctmae
|
phvaso.r2
|
phvaso.pctmae
|
phvasofsca.r2
|
phvasofsca.pctmae
|
|
|
1as
|
1mvs
|
1mf
|
1mvf
|
2as
|
2mvs
|
2mf
|
2mvf
|
3as
|
3mvs
|
3mf
|
3mvf
|
4as
|
4mvs
|
4mf
|
4mvf
|
5as
|
5mvs
|
5mf
|
5mvf
|
6as
|
6mvs
|
6mf
|
6mvf
|
7as
|
7mvs
|
7mf
|
7mvf
|
8as
|
8mvs
|
8mf
|
8mvf
|
|
|
(1)
|
(2)
|
(3)
|
(4)
|
(5)
|
(6)
|
(7)
|
(8)
|
(9)
|
(10)
|
(11)
|
(12)
|
(13)
|
(14)
|
(15)
|
(16)
|
(17)
|
(18)
|
(19)
|
(20)
|
(21)
|
(22)
|
(23)
|
(24)
|
(25)
|
(26)
|
(27)
|
(28)
|
(29)
|
(30)
|
(31)
|
(32)
|
|
|
|
basinmetricval
|
0.39***
|
1.00***
|
0.17***
|
0.59***
|
-185.11***
|
-465.79***
|
-67.57***
|
-216.26***
|
0.17***
|
0.48***
|
0.01
|
0.07
|
-67.57***
|
-162.17***
|
-21.73***
|
-71.17***
|
0.68***
|
1.12*
|
0.36***
|
1.24***
|
-212.25***
|
-572.49***
|
-67.84***
|
-221.73***
|
0.53***
|
1.57***
|
0.18***
|
0.60***
|
-84.56***
|
-208.03***
|
-24.01***
|
-78.63***
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Constant
|
0.47***
|
0.50***
|
0.47***
|
0.46***
|
83.43***
|
69.22***
|
79.79***
|
79.76***
|
0.74***
|
0.75***
|
0.76***
|
0.76***
|
44.45***
|
39.76***
|
42.18***
|
42.13***
|
0.58***
|
0.65***
|
0.54***
|
0.53***
|
80.81***
|
64.78***
|
75.77***
|
75.98***
|
0.72***
|
0.76***
|
0.74***
|
0.73***
|
45.24***
|
39.36***
|
42.09***
|
42.00***
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
R2
|
0.08
|
0.04
|
0.18
|
0.21
|
0.43
|
0.21
|
0.53
|
0.55
|
0.05
|
0.03
|
0.003
|
0.01
|
0.18
|
0.07
|
0.19
|
0.20
|
0.08
|
0.01
|
0.28
|
0.29
|
0.40
|
0.19
|
0.53
|
0.55
|
0.28
|
0.16
|
0.30
|
0.34
|
0.23
|
0.08
|
0.25
|
0.26
|
|
|
|
Note:
|
p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01
|
compare all errors vs basin aggregated snow variables

compare best errors vs fsca pattern differences

|
|
|
|
Dependent variable:
|
|
|
|
|
|
phv.r2
|
phv.pctmae
|
phvfsca.r2
|
phvfsca.pctmae
|
phvaso.r2
|
phvaso.pctmae
|
phvasofsca.r2
|
phvasofsca.pctmae
|
|
|
1a
|
1s
|
2a
|
2s
|
3a
|
3s
|
4a
|
4s
|
5a
|
5s
|
6a
|
6s
|
7a
|
7s
|
8a
|
8s
|
|
|
(1)
|
(2)
|
(3)
|
(4)
|
(5)
|
(6)
|
(7)
|
(8)
|
(9)
|
(10)
|
(11)
|
(12)
|
(13)
|
(14)
|
(15)
|
(16)
|
|
|
|
fscametricval
|
-0.11***
|
-0.20***
|
72.91**
|
-76.53
|
0.10*
|
0.25**
|
-14.87
|
-47.03***
|
-0.23***
|
-0.48**
|
65.67***
|
125.61**
|
-0.22*
|
-0.25
|
9.56
|
-23.17
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Constant
|
0.58***
|
0.56***
|
33.89***
|
66.98***
|
0.73***
|
0.73***
|
45.26***
|
47.72***
|
0.79***
|
0.76***
|
27.67***
|
38.90***
|
0.87***
|
0.82***
|
30.71***
|
41.77***
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
R2
|
0.43
|
0.33
|
0.17
|
0.04
|
0.11
|
0.21
|
0.04
|
0.29
|
0.31
|
0.21
|
0.52
|
0.22
|
0.13
|
0.03
|
0.04
|
0.08
|
|
|
|
Note:
|
p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01
|
compare all errors vs fsca pattern differences by date

are the differences in patterns of fsca and swe similar?
comparison of maps for each date but leaving out maps from the same year in the comparison

swe and fsca difference for best predictions
More yellow means prediction was better. x and y axis represent the differences between simulation date and model date expressed as mean squared error or mean absolute error.

|
|
|
|
Dependent variable:
|
|
|
|
|
|
swe
|
|
|
(1)
|
(2)
|
(3)
|
(4)
|
(5)
|
(6)
|
(7)
|
(8)
|
(9)
|
(10)
|
(11)
|
(12)
|
(13)
|
(14)
|
(15)
|
(16)
|
|
|
|
fsca
|
0.77***
|
0.59***
|
0.65***
|
0.80***
|
0.05
|
0.05
|
0.22***
|
0.20***
|
1.04***
|
1.50***
|
0.56
|
1.53***
|
0.35***
|
0.94***
|
0.35
|
0.91**
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Constant
|
0.15**
|
0.20***
|
0.21***
|
0.14**
|
0.05***
|
0.05***
|
0.04**
|
0.04***
|
0.43***
|
0.02
|
0.46**
|
0.14
|
0.13***
|
0.001
|
0.09*
|
0.05
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
R2
|
0.47
|
0.72
|
0.89
|
0.68
|
0.01
|
0.03
|
0.37
|
0.49
|
0.61
|
0.60
|
0.04
|
0.26
|
0.23
|
0.39
|
0.02
|
0.20
|
|
|
|
Note:
|
p<0.1; p<0.05; p<0.01
|